Bio: Dr. Gabriel Ehrlich is the Director of the Research Seminar in Quantitative Economics (RSQE), and an Assistant Research Scientist in the department of Economics at the University of Michigan. Prior to joining RSQE, he worked in the Financial Analysis Division at the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), where he forecast interest rates and conducted analysis on monetary policy and the mortgage finance system. His academic research focuses on several areas of housing and land economics as well as the effects of wage rigidity on labor market outcomes.

MODELING THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK IN THE TIME OF COVID-19

We will present the Research Seminar in Quantitative Economics’ (RSQE’s) forecast for the national and Michigan economies from 2020 to 2022. We will discuss the incoming data during the COVID-19 pandemic, the near-term economic damage, and the prospects for economic recovery. RSQE is the world’s oldest continuously operating economic forecasting unit and is home to the “Michigan Model” of the U.S. economy.